Weather conditions during crop development in 2021 are expected to have little impact on the production of apples, pears and table grapes

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Weather conditions during crop development in 2021 are expected to have little impact on the production of apples, pears and table grapes, forecast at 45 MMT, 18 MMT and 11 MMT, respectively.

Consumer demand for domestic and imported fruit is expected to be low due to the economic downturn following the COVID-19 pandemic. In addition, ongoing supply chain disruptions are expected to keep transportation costs high and lead to shortages of shipping containers, increasing uncertainty in the fruit trade, both for imports and products. exports. Sources say recent energy shortages are unlikely to impact the distribution of deciduous fruit, which relies to a limited extent on electricity.

Chinese apple production is expected to reach 45 million metric tons (MMT) in MY 2021/22 (July-June) from the Post’s revised estimate of 44.1 MMT during of the 2020/21 marketing year. According to industry
sources, weather anomalies for the 2021/22 marketing year are expected to have a minor impact on overall apple production. However, the quality of the fruit, especially the size and appearance (color) of the fruit should be
severely affected. In the major apple-producing provinces, growers experienced complex and changing weather conditions during the first 10 months of 2021, including spring frosts, summer hail,
drought and excessive rains in autumn. Industry sources report that in Shaanxi, the largest apple-producing province in China, the fruit size is smaller compared to the previous season due to a summer
Drought. In Shandong, the second largest apple producer, hailstorms in early October 2021 damaged the outer surface of apples. In short, in marketing year 2021/22, the percentage of domestic high-quality products
apples should be much lower than the previous year.

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